I recommend a highly interesting review by Brian Wieser (firstname.lastname@example.org) of Pivotal Research Group on the announced merger of Publicis and Omnicom, as well as Facebook’s claim to be an effective ad medium because of its broad reach in daytime. In his analysis, Brian makes the point that reach by time of day is not the key factor in media planning—the intrinsic effectiveness and cost of the media come first. That is one reason for the Publicis OMD merger—to develop ways to buy online video at a cheaper rate.
But beyond that, Brian also makes this point:
“For a good illustration of how issues like the above play out elsewhere, consider: if marketers could identify the 20 percent of local markets that drive 80 percent of variations in outcomes, wouldn’t they spend more money on local media? It’s a potentially massively more efficient way to spend money, and one which marketers have had the capacity to execute against for many many years…and yet if anything marketers with nationally-skewed corporate structures have been shifting most of their spending towards national media over the same time. Consider that over the past ten years, national mass media owners’ advertising revenues grew by 33 percent while local mass media owners’ advertising revenues fell by 28 percent during the same time. Reasons unrelated to marketing efficiency usually have substantial sway in dictating changes in advertising spending choices across the economy.”
I believe effective media leverage is finding those media and those geographies where there are greater concentrations of product users that can be bought more efficiently—these are the key places to grow share. A simple example of this is the national election, where the Obama for America campaign advertised in only 44 TV markets (using Rentrak data).
The reality is that our country is becoming increasingly Balkanized, with different concentrations of cultures and economies in different parts of the country. The map below from Pew Research shows the importance of religion in people’s lives—the darker the color, the more important. The Northeast and West Coast are clearly different than the Deep South.
This disparity extends to lifestyle and product usage as well. The map below from The Atlantic shows where the 1 percent is concentrated. Those products that cater to the more affluent (e.g. cars) need to consider the disparities in income that allow for people to purchase or lease cars.
Car manufactures have weaned themselves away from the incentive “drug” of the ‘90s causing an increase in the real price of automobiles adjusted for inflation as the chart from the Motoramic blog indicates.
The increase in real car prices in the auto industry alone makes understanding the differences in sales across markets and within a medium even more important. Since Rentrak has the same measurement methodology across markets, we can provide comparable TV delivery indices across markets, unlike the sample-based folks who have different methods in different markets. Rentrak can also do this with actual auto sales information, as we have integrated Polk data across our footprint. In addition, within a market (and for the nation as a whole) we can indicate where to find the best TV leverage points for auto buyers. I leave you, dear reader, with a fun example of where to find the Cadillac buyer in Dallas in March in Early Fringe.
I wasn’t a good media planner and I didn’t look at the all the networks and stations we report on. I used the major broadcast affiliates and a couple of cable networks. It isn’t just the news networks like CNBC and FNBC that index high against Cadillac buyers. Affiliates like CBS and MeTV also have high concentrations. Unfortunately, the few liberals in Dallas on MSNBC don’t seem to be lovers of Cadillacs.
Bottom line, Brian is right. Leverage in media can be found across markets, within markets, and across media. And Rentrak, with its Advanced Demographics can help with that leverage.
In case you don’t know, I am Bruce Goerlich, Chief Research Officer at Rentrak, the global standard in movie measurement and your TV Everywhere measurement and research company. I have been in the research end of the marketing business for more than 30 years primarily on the ad agency side, with my last stint prior to Rentrak in the role of President, Strategic Resources Zenith Optimedia North America. Somewhere along the way I morphed from young Turk to old fogey. Now that I have grey hair and am horizontally-challenged, I can speak with some authority on advertising and research issues – which I will do from time-to-time on this blog.